Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.7%
Napoli
12.5%
Draw
6.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Napoli
vs
0.70
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.7%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.0%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).