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06 Dec 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.8%
Bochum
29.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Bochum

vs
1.04

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).