Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Empoli
28.6%
Draw
37.7%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Empoli
vs
1.14
Spal
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).