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10 Nov 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir
28.3%
Draw
36.4%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

İstanbul Başakşehir

vs
1.65

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS67.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).