⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 11CSV

13 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
22.4%
Tranmere
20.7%
Draw
56.9%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Tranmere

vs
1.99

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.8%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).