Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →96.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.4%
Draw
0.7%
Poltava
Expected Goals (xG)
4.84
Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
0.44
Poltava
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.8%
Over 2.589.6%
Over 3.577.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
11.7%
5-0
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
2-0
6.0%
4-1
5.2%
5-1
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
4-2
1.2%
1-1
1.1%
5-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).