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26 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Angers
24.6%
Draw
26.8%
Saint-Étienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Angers

vs
1.03

Saint-Étienne

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).