Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Karagumruk
33.3%
Draw
42.9%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Karagumruk
vs
1.41
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.9%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).