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HHT: 20CSV

12 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.9%
Plymouth
25.2%
Draw
53.9%
Millwall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Plymouth

vs
1.77

Millwall

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.8%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).