Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Newcastle
15.7%
Draw
8.2%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Newcastle
vs
0.86
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
5-0
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).