Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Watford
26.1%
Draw
56.6%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Watford
vs
1.78
West Ham
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-2
10.8%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).