Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Cagliari
28.9%
Draw
12.2%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Cagliari
vs
0.52
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.3%
0-0
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).