Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Hoffenheim
24.2%
Draw
23.5%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Hoffenheim
vs
1.19
Mainz
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).