Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Aldershot
22.2%
Draw
57.2%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Aldershot
vs
2.11
Stockport
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).