Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Alaves
30.9%
Draw
21.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Alaves
vs
0.72
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).