⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

31 Mar 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
36.8%
Zaragoza
32.5%
Draw
30.7%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Zaragoza

vs
0.85

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS35.1%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.3%
1-0
15.9%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).