Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Brighton
27.6%
Draw
31.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Brighton
vs
1.37
Brentford
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).