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DHT: 00CSV

02 Apr 2016

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.8%
Livingston
15.4%
Draw
5.8%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.65

Livingston

vs
0.65

Alloa

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
2.8%
5-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).