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AHT: 01

02 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.6%
Stafford Town
23.5%
Draw
61.9%
Halesowen Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.64

Stafford Town

vs
1.63

Halesowen Town

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
0-4
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
2-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).