Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Dender
23.8%
Draw
54.8%
St Truiden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Dender
vs
1.87
St Truiden
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).