Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Andorra
24.5%
Draw
12.7%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Andorra
vs
0.54
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.9%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).