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DHT: 10CSV

01 Mar 2022 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Arbroath
29.5%
Draw
39.0%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Arbroath

vs
1.44

Partick

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).