Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Celta
25.3%
Draw
18.1%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Celta
vs
0.81
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).