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AHT: 10CSV

28 Feb 2020 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.7%
Alanyaspor
31.3%
Draw
47.0%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Alanyaspor

vs
1.57

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.0%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).