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17 Apr 2021 · 12:30

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Morecambe
28.3%
Draw
43.2%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Morecambe

vs
1.21

Oldham

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).