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28 Jan 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.5%
Mechelen
17.7%
Draw
11.8%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.46

Mechelen

vs
0.93

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
1-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).