Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Chievo
27.6%
Draw
15.1%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Chievo
vs
0.68
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).