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DHT: 00

01 Feb 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Motor Lublin
22.2%
Draw
39.1%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Motor Lublin

vs
1.97

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS74.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-2
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
0-1
3.2%
1-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).