Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.9%
Nott'm Forest
14.5%
Draw
4.5%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.44
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.8%
3-0
13.6%
1-0
13.5%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
5-0
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).