Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Le Mans
24.1%
Draw
28.6%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Le Mans
vs
1.07
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).