Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Andorra
23.1%
Draw
17.9%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Andorra
vs
0.84
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).