Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Elfsborg
21.0%
Draw
51.3%
Sirius
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Elfsborg
vs
2.36
Sirius
Markets
BTTS75.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).