Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Walsall
26.4%
Draw
33.3%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Walsall
vs
1.14
Crewe
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).