Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Valencia
27.0%
Draw
19.8%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Valencia
vs
0.81
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).