Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Bolton
24.1%
Draw
43.4%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Bolton
vs
1.42
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).