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DHT: 11CSV

21 Apr 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Ankaragucu
35.7%
Draw
26.0%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Ankaragucu

vs
0.96

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.6%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).