Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Lecce
28.4%
Draw
20.4%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Lecce
vs
0.71
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).