Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Reading
17.8%
Draw
17.1%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Reading
vs
1.03
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).