Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Sturm Graz
23.4%
Draw
15.8%
Grazer AK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Sturm Graz
vs
0.86
Grazer AK
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).