Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Ponferradina
28.1%
Draw
32.7%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Ponferradina
vs
1.08
Logrones
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).