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AHT: 02CSV

13 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.3%
Peterhead
34.1%
Draw
34.6%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Peterhead

vs
1.12

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).