Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Avellino
30.2%
Draw
33.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Avellino
vs
1.18
Spezia
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).