Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Livorno
29.6%
Draw
20.0%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Livorno
vs
0.81
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).