Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Kocaelispor
43.4%
Draw
24.0%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Kocaelispor
vs
0.66
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS29.7%
Over 0.573.7%
Over 1.546.0%
Over 2.518.1%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
26.3%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
15.3%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.5%
0-2
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).