Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Inter
13.7%
Draw
5.5%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Inter
vs
0.46
Lecce
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.5%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-1
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
5-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).