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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Zagreb

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Vukovar
23.9%
Draw
55.5%
Zagreb

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Vukovar

vs
2.00

Zagreb

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
2-3
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).