Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Monaco
23.0%
Draw
14.0%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Monaco
vs
0.64
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).