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AHT: 11CSV

28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Woking
24.4%
Draw
15.6%
Dover Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Woking

vs
0.81

Dover Athletic

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).