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01 Oct 2022 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Greuther Furth
25.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Greuther Furth

vs
1.29

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).