Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Augsburg
29.1%
Draw
28.0%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Augsburg
vs
1.05
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).